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#Stockout_Risk

TM-203: Inventory Health Monitor  ·  Momentum-aware DOS  ·  Loading...
CRITICAL
—
out within 7 days
HIGH
—
out within 14 days
MEDIUM
—
out within 30 days
WATCH
—
surging, 31-60d
Retail $ at Risk
—
current OH value
Stocked Out
—
— lost rev
Chain Shortages
—
UPCs at 4+ stores
Seasonal at Peak
—
IN_PEAK CRITICAL/HIGH
Low Confidence
—
excluded from totals
By District Manager
All SR1 — Imminent (<7d) SR2 — Velocity Surge SR3 — Chain-Wide SR4 — Stocked Out Now SR5 — Quick Sellouts
Overview
Momentum-Aware Days of Supply (mDOS)
This report identifies items that ARE selling but will run out before replenishment arrives. The core metric is mDOS (momentum-adjusted Days of Supply): unlike flat DOS (OH ÷ 30-day avg), mDOS uses an EWMA velocity that weights recent days more heavily — so a sudden sales surge shows up immediately, not averaged away. A Momentum Ratio (14-day vs. 60-day velocity) drives automatic tier promotions: SURGING items move up one tier. Low-confidence items (thin data, promo spikes, fresh receipts) are excluded from tier totals and shown with a ⚠ badge.
CRITICAL Out in ≤7 days HIGH Out in 8–14 days MEDIUM Out in 15–30 days WATCH Surging, 31–60 days
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